Many trees, including oaks, beeches, and several species of pine, reproduce in a strikingly irregular way. For several years in a row, a population produces few seeds; then, in a so-called mast year, most of the trees across a wide region, sometimes hundreds of kilometers across, produce an enormous crop at once. Ecologists have long sought to explain both why seed production varies so much and why trees so far apart keep to a common schedule.
The simplest explanation, known as resource matching, holds that trees produce seeds whenever conditions allow. A warm spring or ample rainfall leaves trees with surplus energy, and since trees across a region experience the same weather, they produce large crops in the same years. Resource matching undoubtedly accounts for some of the pattern, but it faces a serious difficulty. In many masting species, seed production varies far more from year to year than does any measure of weather or of available resources. A modest improvement in conditions can be followed by a crop many times larger than the previous year's. Trees, it appears, do not merely pass along fluctuations in their environment; they amplify them, storing resources through lean years and spending them all at once.
Since holding back seeds has costs of its own, ecologists have looked for benefits that might make the strategy worthwhile. One proposed benefit is predator satiation. Seed-eating animals such as weevils and mice cannot multiply quickly enough to consume a sudden glut, so a larger fraction of a mast crop survives than of an ordinary crop, and the lean years that follow keep the predators' numbers low. A second proposal applies to wind-pollinated species: when all the trees in a region flower heavily at once, the air is thick with pollen, and a larger proportion of flowers is fertilized.
These explanations are not mutually exclusive, and weather has not dropped out of the picture. Many researchers now think that weather acts chiefly as a cue that lets widely separated trees keep to the same schedule, rather than as what determines how much they produce.